Models. Behaving. Badly.

Why Confusing Illusion with Reality Can Lead to Disaster, on Wall Street and in Life

Emanuel Derman

Recommended By

Book Synopsis

"Models. Behaving. Badly." by Emanuel Derman is a compelling exploration of the limitations and misconceptions of financial models. Derman, a renowned physicist-turned-Wall Street quant, delves into the world of mathematical models used in finance and exposes their inherent flaws.

In this thought-provoking book, Derman argues that models are imperfect representations of reality, often failing to capture the complexity and irrationality of human behavior. He reveals the dangers of blindly trusting models, recounting his personal experiences in the financial industry to illustrate the consequences of relying too heavily on these tools.

Through captivating anecdotes, Derman offers a critical analysis of the overreliance on quantitative models and explains why they often lead to disastrous outcomes. He challenges the prevailing belief that models can accurately predict the future, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of financial markets and human decision-making.

While examining the shortcomings of models, Derman also highlights the importance of their proper use. He advocates for a more nuanced understanding of models as useful tools that require constant scrutiny and adjustments. By embracing the uncertainties and limitations of models, Derman suggests that individuals can make more informed and pragmatic decisions in the realm of finance.

"Models. Behaving. Badly." compels readers to question the false sense of certainty provided by models and encourages a more thoughtful approach to financial decision-making. Derman's unique perspective and expertise make this book an essential read for anyone interested in understanding the intersection of mathematics, finance, and human behavior.

Explore More Books

See All
The Construction of Social Reality
The New One
Different
The Complete Stories
100 Plus
Discovering Your Personality Type
The Model Thinker
Lords of Finance
Leading
Bureaucracy
Educated
What School Could Be
The Canceling of the American Mind
Inside the Rise of HBO
Emergency
The Little Liar
Disruptor
The Great CEO Within
The Journalist and the Murderer
A Mathematician's Apology
Xi Jinping: The Governance of China
Powernomics
Strength In Stillness
The Confessions
It's All Too Much
The Jack Vance Treasury
Ending the War on Drugs
Carry on, Jeeves
Fauna & Family
Parfit
Same As Ever
Matter
The Psychology of Achievement
Can't Hurt Me
My Years with General Motors
The Course of Love
Brute
We Wish To Inform You
Thirst
The Complete Works of William Shakespeare
Citizen Coke
Search Inside Yourself
The Power of Myth
Savage News
Human Compatible
On the Genealogy of Morals
The Origin of Wealth
James Turrell
Eisenhower
Poor Charlie's Almanack
The PayPal Wars
All Marketers are Liars
The Story of Civilization
Carrying The Fire
How to Get Filthy Rich in Rising Asia
The Unwritten
The Viral Storm
A Heartbreaking Work of Staggering Genius
The Evolution of Cooperation
I am Benjamin Franklin
From Headless Chicken to Golden Goose
Inversions
The Jungle
Savage Son
Caste
Radical Chic and Mau-Mauing the Flak Catchers
Originals
Slouching Towards Bethlehem
Getting to Yes
The Evolution of Beauty
A Very Expensive Poison
Mission
Mindstorms
Modelling Extremal Events
The Great Wave
Me Talk Pretty One Day
High Output Management
The Beginning Of Infinity
Ordinary Men
The Great Influenza
Game Engine Black Book
Inside the Investor's Brain
Makers
The Ultimate Resource 2
On Grief and Grieving
No Ordinary Time
Maps of Meaning
The Search
Fiasco
The Inflamed Mind
Value-added Measures in Education
How We Got To Now
The War for Kindness
The Almanack of Naval Ravikant
Toussaint Louverture
Under Saturn's Shadow
To Dare and to Conquer
Best Evidence
Bird by Bird
How Big Things Get Done